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7 days after Vladimir Putin’s order to attack Ukraine, the balance both on the ground and in the moral field is far from what the Russian president had hoped for.
“Vini, vidi, vici(I came, I saw, I won), the Kremlin chief, a week after the attack began, has become anxious for himself. On paper, the powerful Russian army, far superior in every way to the Ukrainian one, with advanced weapons, superior capabilities in cyberspace, and sophisticated relocation of military forces, should have taken Kiev in time.
The reality, however, is a little different. Moscow troops are trapped on the outskirts of the Ukrainian capital, in a 60-kilometer convoy, but without taking any further steps. With the exception of the city of Kherson, the Russians have no control over any other important center inhabited in Ukraine. The victim meanwhile has had from both sides, the inevitable consequence of this of an armed conflict.
According to the UN, 227 civilians have been killed and 525 others injured in Ukraine since the occupation began on February 24. The local emergency service speaks of over 2000 deaths among the ranks of civilians, claims that have not been verified impartially. 1 million are displaced. However, according to NATO military experts, the Russian offensive appears to be successful in the long run with its strategy of slowly tightening its throat. Strategies that the Ukrainian army could not resist. But if the war in Ukraine lasts, the invasion would not be a good thing militarily for the Russians, as the Ukrainians are showing that they also have civil resistance.
This, according to experts, would create a situation similar to the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan in 1979, an occupation which lasted 20 years and not only ended with the military withdrawal of Moscow, but also with the collapse of the Soviet red empire.
But Russia’s real loss is that of its face on the world stage. Every bomb that falls on Ukraine adds to the support of almost the whole world. The European Parliament called on the EU institutions to grant candidate status as soon as possible, and at the United Nations General Assembly, more nations had never unanimously endorsed a resolution condemning the Russian attack.
Moscow is finding itself more isolated than it could have ever imagined, with only Belarus, Eritrea, North Korea and Syria on its side. Even its big ally, Serbia voted against Russia. Hungary also forgot its friendship with Moscow when it chose to support EU sanctions, while Turkey did not miss the opportunity to block the military exit of Russian ships in the Mediterranean.
One week from the start of the occupation is too soon for the final statements, however it is already clear that Ukraine with the rare resistance of its army and people surprised the world and Moscow itself, while morally winning this war from the moment it was launched towards it the first Russian missile.
Putin today only supports Lukashenko, Kim Jong Un and Syria’s Bashr al Assad.
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